Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.692077 2.026837 2.403214 2.856643 3.386945 3.986344 4.713955
2026-02-01 1.150957 1.554950 2.059528 2.731722 3.598860 4.674391 6.103312
2026-02-08 0.868452 1.296539 1.879420 2.721629 3.895992 5.462113 7.692434
2026-02-15 0.686268 1.117094 1.748779 2.726399 4.180940 6.239936 9.342525
2026-02-22 0.548118 0.964805 1.617695 2.691537 4.382587 6.903214 10.889805
2026-03-01 0.425803 0.807515 1.444340 2.553094 4.393259 7.268931 12.021390
2026-03-08 0.350637 0.711685 1.349192 2.517113 4.547779 7.855625 13.535687
2026-03-15 0.294672 0.637533 1.275853 2.501667 4.725865 8.488324 15.176395
2026-03-22 0.269943 0.617475 1.294863 2.649429 5.198225 9.649708 17.796184
2026-03-29 0.240678 0.581821 1.277536 2.724982 5.546487 10.628617 20.192830
2026-04-05 0.219468 0.558740 1.280413 2.837876 5.973916 11.783827 22.998681
2026-04-12 0.191038 0.513343 1.229525 2.834515 6.175209 12.543874 25.156955
2026-04-19 0.158606 0.452108 1.135962 2.732073 6.174337 12.939465 26.706914
2026-04-26 0.131505 0.397707 1.047938 2.627747 6.155573 13.297667 28.220545
2026-05-03 0.114743 0.366270 1.007526 2.622869 6.344102 14.079110 30.622267
2026-05-10 0.100993 0.339774 0.974258 2.629001 6.555961 14.925597 33.225192
2026-05-17 0.087372 0.310196 0.927729 2.595747 6.674087 15.586553 35.505228
2026-05-24 0.071734 0.270197 0.846093 2.461958 6.541889 15.700180 36.653247
2026-05-31 0.062162 0.246949 0.805666 2.427195 6.639290 16.319528 38.924944
2026-06-07 0.054569 0.228258 0.774601 2.412268 6.782605 17.052776 41.503189
2026-06-14 0.052480 0.228564 0.799748 2.555217 7.338276 18.772044 46.397322
2026-06-21 0.048579 0.221154 0.800081 2.628317 7.722817 20.127332 50.576921
2026-06-28 0.045889 0.217703 0.812290 2.737556 8.214163 21.775360 55.548775